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DecisionTools Suite 4.5 Industrial Edition |
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USD46.00
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This is full retail version not academic or student oem version.you can use it forever have no time limite.comes only a dvd-r disk and all code needed,step by step installation instruction. DecisionTools Suite 4.5 Industrial Edition The DecisionTools Suite is an integrated set of programs for risk analysis and decision making under uncertainty that run in Microsoft Excel. The new DecisionTools Suite includes @RISK as well as all-new versions of PrecisionTree and TopRank . In addition, the Suite has been expanded to add StatTools , NeuralTools , and Evolver for prediction, data analysis and optimization. All programs have been rewritten to work together better than ever before. @RISK for risk analysis using Monte Carlo simulation @RISK performs risk analysis using Monte Carlo simulation to show you many possible outcomes in your Microsoft Excel spreadsheet—and tells you how likely they are to occur. This means you can judge which risks to take and which ones to avoid. Greater Than the Sum of its Parts The focus of an @RISK analysis can be narrowed using TopRank. Especially with large models, this saves time and improves accuracy of your @RISK analysis. @RISK functions can also be used by TopRank to represent a wider range of values than TopRank’s standard functions. In addition, @RISK can be combined with PrecisionTree to represent uncertain chance events and payoffs in decision tree models. This enhances the accuracy of decision tree models by considering wider ranges of values for chance events instead of a few limited, discrete options. @RISK then StatTools PrecisionTree® for decision analysis with decision trees and influence diagrams PrecisionTree performs decision analysis in Microsoft Excel using decision trees and influence diagrams. Decision trees let you visually map out complex, multi-layered decisions in a sequential, organized manner. This helps you identify all possible alternatives and choose the best option. Greater Than the Sum of its Parts PrecisionTree represents chance events and payoffs with discrete values or probabilities. When combined with @RISK, @RISK enhances the analysis by representing continuous ranges of outcomes for chance events and payoffs. PrecisionTree models can also be run with TopRank to identify the most critical factors in larger, more complex tree models. TopRank® for automated “what if” sensitivity analysis TopRank performs automated “what if” sensitivity analysis on Microsoft Excel spreadsheets. You can define any output or “bottom line” cell or cells, and TopRank will automatically find and vary all input cells which affect your output. The end result is identification and ranking of all input factors which affect your bottom line. Greater Than the Sum of its Parts TopRank is useful for narrowing down the focus of large models before performing a risk analysis with @RISK. Especially with large models, this saves time and improves accuracy of your @RISK analysis. In addition, TopRank can use @RISK to represent a wider range of values than TopRank’s standard functions. TopRank and PrecisionTree NeuralTools® for predictive analysis using intelligent neural networks NeuralTools performs predictions in Microsoft Excel using sophisticated neural networks. NeuralTools imitates brain functions to “learn” patterns in your known data, and uses those patterns to make predictions from new, incomplete data. In addition, NeuralTools can automatically update predictions live when input data changes, saving time and enabling more robust analyses. Greater Than the Sum of its Parts NeuralTools and Evolver You could even run NeuralTools in conjunction with RISKOptimizer, running Monte Carlo simulations on each trial solution and making live predictions of the results. StatTools® for time-series forecasting and advanced statistical analysis StatTools performs time-series forecasting and statistical analysis in Microsoft Excel. It actually replaces Excel’s built-in statistics functions with its own, more robust and accurate functions. StatTools covers the most common statistical analyses, and even allows you to build your own custom statistical procedures for inclusion on the StatTools menu. Greater Than the Sum of its Parts StatTools and @RISK then RISKOptimizer Evolver™ for genetic algorithm-based optimization Evolver performs genetic algorithm-based optimization in Microsoft Excel. It is especially well-suited to finding the best overall global solution to nonlinear, complex problems where other solvers fail. Evolver’s genetic algorithms constantly try new, different solutions to arrive at the best answer possible. Greater Than the Sum of its Parts Evolver then NeuralTools RISKOptimizer® combines optimization and Monte Carlo simulation for optimization under uncertainty RISKOptimizer combines optimization with Monte Carlo simulation to solve optimization problems under uncertainty. Take any optimization problem and replace uncertain values with @RISK functions that represent ranges of possible values. RISKOptimizer will try different combinations of adjustable cells to achieve the goal you define, while running Monte Carlo simulations on each trial solution to account for inherent uncertainty. The result is the most robust, accurate solution possible. Greater Than the Sum of its Parts Run RISKOptimizer on an existing @RISK model to maximize your profits, minimize your costs, or achieve a particular target. RISKOptimizer uses all the same functions as @RISK. You could run a RISKOptimizer analysis on the results from a StatTools time-series forecast, applying @RISK functions to the forecasted values while adjusting controllable factors to maximize total profits. Even combine RISKOptimizer with NeuralTools to make live predictions on each trial solution. Save Over 50% The DecisionTools Suite costs less than buying just two component products separately. In fact, you save over 50% versus buying all components individually. The best analyses at a great price–with the DecisionTools Suite. Excel Ease of Use |
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